Spss Political Analysts

EIGHT by PW2016_FULL. FREQUENCIES VARIABLES=v16,v17/STATISTICS=MEDIAN MEAN RANGE STDDEV/FORMAT=NOTABLES.

Explanation:

Once the ANES2016REVISED data set is downloaded, we then apply the PW2016_FULL weight. • This adjusts for the unintentional oversampling of wealthy, highly educated, and female

respondents by reducing the impact of their responses. The next syntax line produces a frequency distribution for each of those variables, along with the requested statistics for each.

• SPSS does not directly calculate the MAD • The ‘FORMAT’ command eliminates the listing of each of the potential 101 categories of the

feeling thermometer (0-100), and just produces the requested statistics.

 

TASK 1:

Interpret each of the statistical values as you did in Stat 1. Just discuss the standard deviation

as a weighted (i.e., extreme cases count more heavily) MAD.

 

TASK 2:

Compare the four statistics across each of the two variables. What do they tell you about the

distribution of feelings towards the two major-party candidates?

Frequencies

Statistics

 

PRE: Feeling

Thermometer:

Democratic

Presidential cand

PRE: Feeling

Thermometer:

Republican

Presidential cand

N Valid 3598 3597

Missing 51 52

Mean 42.16 36.26

Median 40.00 30.00

Std. Deviation 34.099 34.867

Range 100 100

 

‘Missing’ is the number of respondents (V16=51/V17=v52) who didn’t answer the associated

question.

 

 

MEANS TABLES=V16 V17 BY V22A_30D/CELLS=MEDIAN MEAN RANGE STDDEV COUNT. MEANS TABLES=V16 V17 BY V42E_30D/CELLS=MEDIAN MEAN RANGE STDDEV COUNT. MEANS TABLES=V16 V17 BY V47_30D/CELLS=MEDIAN MEAN RANGE STDDEV COUNT. Explanation: The MEANS procedure makes it easy for us to calculate statistics for a variable or variables for different subgroups within our sample. The first listed syntax repeats our request from Tasks 1 and 2 but creates a different set of statistics for each of the two categories of V22A_30D (Do you favor or oppose the ACA/Obamacare?). ‘Count’ is the number of cases (N) in each category.

• To make your life easy, I have dichotomized (converted into only two categories) V22A into just the two categories listed:

o 1=Favor o 2=Oppose

• I have done the same for opinions about federal environmental funding (V42E_30D):

o 1=Increase funding o 2=Decrease funding or keep the same o

• and gun ownership (V47_30D): o 1=Make more difficult o 2=Make easier or keep laws the same

 

TASK 3:

Choose only one (1) of the dichotomized variables (V22A_30D, V42E_30D, V47_30D).

Compare the statistics between each category of your chosen dichotomized variables.

• You should realize by now that the RANGE is not very useful as we will always have respondents who give a ‘0’ evaluation as well as a ‘100’. You may ignore that statistic.

• You should have one set of comparisons for V16 and a separate one for V17. • So, for example, you should compare the median, mean, and standard deviation of V16

between those who favor Obamacare (1) and those who oppose it (2). You then do the same for the statistics for V17.

• Be as detailed as possible in your comparison. More is better than less.

 

 

Here are the relevant tables produced by each MEANS procedure: MEANS TABLES=V16 V17 BY V22A_30D/CELLS=MEDIAN MEAN RANGE STDDEV COUNT.

Means

Report

ACA

PRE: Feeling

Thermometer:

Democratic

Presidential cand

PRE: Feeling

Thermometer:

Republican

Presidential cand

Favor Median 70.00 .00

Mean 65.01 16.50

Range 100 100

Std. Deviation 27.412 25.879

N 1360 1373

Oppose Median 5.00 61.00

Mean 19.51 56.61

Range 100 100

Std. Deviation 25.543 32.193

N 1470 1462

Total Median 40.00 30.00

Mean 41.37 37.18

Range 100 100

Std. Deviation 34.883 35.503

N 2831 2835

• Notice that the number of respondents (N) is lower than the number in the original tables

(Task 1-2). • Reason? These tables eliminate not only those who didn’t answer V16 or V17, but also those

who didn’t answer or responded ‘Neither favor nor oppose’ to V22A_30D. • The same holds for the other tables printed below, but the drop is minimal as there was no

middle category to remove.

 

 

MEANS TABLES=V16 V17 BY V42E_30D/CELLS=MEDIAN MEAN RANGE STDDEV COUNT.

Means

Report

ENVIRONMENT

PRE: Feeling

Thermometer:

Democratic

Presidential cand

PRE: Feeling

Thermometer:

Republican

Presidential cand

Increase Median 60.00 2.00

Mean 54.69 23.91

Range 100 100

Std. Deviation 31.728 30.435

N 1892 1893

Keep the same or decrease Median 15.00 60.00

Mean 28.13 50.17

Range 100 100

Std. Deviation 31.071 34.261

N 1691 1690

Total Median 40.00 30.00

Mean 42.15 36.30

Range 100 100

Std. Deviation 34.099 34.852

N 3583 3582

 

 

 

MEANS TABLES=V16 V17 BY V47_30D/CELLS=MEDIAN MEAN RANGE STDDEV COUNT.

Means

Report

GUNS

PRE: Feeling

Thermometer:

Democratic

Presidential cand

PRE: Feeling

Thermometer:

Republican

Presidential cand

Make more difficult Median 60.00 1.00

Mean 56.57 21.10

Range 100 100

Std. Deviation 31.013 28.252

N 1913 1920

Make easier or keep rules the

same

Median 15.00 60.00

Mean 25.62 53.74

Range 100 100

Std. Deviation 29.778 33.590

N 1668 1660

Total Median 40.00 30.00

Mean 42.15 36.23

Range 100 100

Std. Deviation 34.132 34.871

N 3581 3580

Struggle For Democracy

Use the following questions below to help you formulate your ideas in a 1-2 paragraph post. Your posts should be in your own words, well-organized and written in full sentences. Please don’t simply just answer the questions – try to create paragraphs with topic sentences and clear points to support your opinion!

  • What do you think the authors mean by the title “The Struggle for Democracy”? Based on this title, what are some of the things you think you might learn about this semester about US politics and government?
  • What do you think a person’s roles and responsibilities in the democratic process is? What are some of the ways a person can be more involved in the democratic process? 
  • What has your experience with the democratic process in the US been? (For example, have you voted before, attended a protest, etc.)
  • Americans often use the word ‘freedom’. What does ‘freedom’ mean for you? In your opinion, are Americans really free?

Governor And Public Policy Paper

  • Available Jan 6 at 6am – Feb 22 at 12:30am about 2 months

Signature Assignment 3 (Unit 6): Governor and Public Policy Paper

(3-5 pages)

8 % of final grade

Due Friday, February 21, by 11:59 pm

Paper must be double spaced, with 12 point font and include section headers for each of the paper sections noted below (Effective Campaign Issues, Summary of Formal and Informal Powers, Formal Powers Applied to Issues, Informal Powers Applied to Issues)

Objective: The objective for this assignment is for students to understand the critical linkage between participatory democracy (elections) and public policy in a representative democracy. It is the individual and corporate responsibility of the voters to make sure that elected officials implement public policy beneficial to the public and, if they do not, to remove them from office the next election. Students must explain how elected governors can use their formal and informal powers to influence public policy.

Congratulations! You have recently been elected the Governor of Texas. You built your successful campaign around promises to address four issues that are significant to the voters of Texas: controlling immigration from Mexico, upgrading the state’s roads and highways, making sure the death penalty is applied fairly and improving k-12 education. Please discuss each of these issues and focus on the following:

  • Why these issues likely helped get you elected Governor (refer to Campaign message and campaign strategy from Unit 2)? (Unit 2 Written Lectures, Slide 2-25)
  • List and discuss the formal and informal powers of the Governor Texas and clearly distinguish between the two? (Unit 6 Written Lectures, Slides 6-5, 6-6, 6-7, 6-8, 6-9, 6-10))
  • What is at least one formal power (do not use the same formal power all of the issues) that you can use to get each policy passed by the legislature? (Unit 6 Written Lectures, Slides 6-5, 6-6 & 6-7)
  • What is at least one informal power (do not use the same informal power for each of the issues) that you can use to get each policy passed by the legislature? (Unit 6 Written Lectures, Slides 6-9 & 6-10)

Paper should be organized using subject headers (ie. Campaign issues, Formal and informal powers, etc.). The paper should be at least 3-4 pages in length.

Assessment: Your Assignment will be assessed based on the following rubric.

Political Science Required Reading Commentaries

V

Your commentaries should meet three goals: 1) give a summary of the key point(s) made in the course reading you are writing about based on your understanding; 2) provide some examples of the evidence used in the reading (possibly including direct quotes) to show how the author supports the key point(s); 3) devote at least two concluding paragraphs to connecting this reading to another class reading (this can be a reading from earlier in the quarter, or another reading assigned on the same date in cases where I have assigned more than one reading).

Part 1: Identify the key point or points in the reading. What is the main argument or key insight you see emerging from this reading? Can you give a quote from the text that supports your understanding of the reading?

Part 2: Identify at least two pieces of “evidence” that the author uses to support the main argument or key point of the reading. In the readings for this class, evidence will often be in the form of specific historical examples that support the larger claim. You should discuss some details from these examples to show how the author makes the point (again, direct quotes are fine, but you should also put some of this into your own words).

For instance, if a reading makes the argument that the declining political power of business interests was an important reason that the New Deal welfare state emerged, the author may then go on to support this point by showing how business interests tried to oppose Social Security, and yet it still passed despite this business opposition.

Also be sensitive to nuance in the author’s analysis, and try to point this out in your commentary. For example, perhaps the author argues that Social Security passed despite business opposition, but then goes on to acknowledge that business interests were able to modify Social Security afterwards in ways that suited their needs (so some business power was still relevant to what happened in the New Deal, even if not dominant).

Part 3: Conclude your commentary by thinking about what this reading adds to other readings in this class. This can include making some comparison with the other reading assigned on that same date in cases where I assign two readings. For example, perhaps you are writing on a reading that describes the positive accomplishments of the New Deal in relation to African Americans, and you want to consider how this fits with the other reading from that day that highlights how the New Deal actually perpetuated racial inequality. Or maybe the specific topic discussed by the reading fleshes out and supports an insight from an earlier reading, and you want to make note of that connection and explore its significance.

Format: 

Each commentary must be typed and 2-3 pages in length. The goal is to be concise, but also to give enough details to show a clear understanding and engagement with the reading. Commentaries should be double-spaced, 12-point font, 1” margins. To effectively summarize the reading, you must cite relevant pages in parentheses within your text. Commentaries will be uploaded to Canvas on the Assignments page (this will be set up this week).

You are required to include page citations for paraphrased summaries, not just direct quotes. For these commentaries you do not need to include the author name in the citation, since it should already be clear that you are citing the text under review. Your commentaries must also be clearly presented and well organized. If you do not meet these format goals, I will return the commentary to you for revision before I accept it.

Introduction

In 1932 the United States economy stood at its lowest ebb in modern history. An army of out- of-work military veterans camped and marched in Washington, DC. Unemployment stood at around 25 percent. Indeed the entire world seemed to have ground to a halt. Facing this crisis, Franklin D. Roosevelt accepted the Democratic nomination for president, pledging himself to “a new deal for the American people.”1 In that speech alone, elements of the “new deal” included increasing public works, supporting agricultural prices, creating new mortgage markets, shortening the working day and week, regulating securities, restoring international trade, reforesting the countryside, and repealing Prohibition. After taking office in 1933, Roosevelt worked with Congress to get laws passed for all these measures and more: by the end of the decade, the New Deal had grown to include social insurance against old age, unemployment, and disability; watershed management; support for unionization; deposit insurance; and a strengthened Federal Reserve System, among other innovations.

The New Deal included a variety of sometimes contradictory components that scholars still struggle to summarize. Often historians agree with Isaiah Berlin, who said in 1955 that the New Deal was an impressive balancing act, able “to reconcile individual liberty . . . with the indispensable minimum of organising and authority.”2 But as David M. Kennedy notes, we can see the New Deal thus only when it is “illumined by the stern-lantern of history.”3 Listening to Roosevelt’s pledges in 1932, watching Congress pour reforms forth in the first one hundred days of his administration in 1933, seeing the White House reply to challenges from the Supreme Court and political opponents in 1935, hearing Roosevelt campaign as “the master” of corporate interests in 1936, it would have been hard to discern in advance what seemed clear in the wake of the decade’s passing. And indeed, there is little proof that Roosevelt or anyone else set out to create the carefully balanced system that the New Deal became: it evolved as the president and Congress responded to the judiciary, the electorate, and the changing world of the Depression.

In this very short introduction to the Great Depression and the New Deal, I offer some basic ideas for a first understanding of this profound crisis and America’s still-influential legislative response. The world that broke down in 1929 broke down for reasons that astute observers had predicted in advance. The subsequent and nearly total failure to repair the damage owed to clear errors of judgment and action, and the prolonged misery that millions of people suffered could therefore have been lessened. Roosevelt and the Democratic Congresses of the New Deal era achieved a marked historical success by correcting those errors. They also committed errors of their own, and I do not slight them here. But in the 1936 election, the American voters overwhelmingly asked their leaders to forge forward with their experiments, mistakes aside, rather than return to the old and, to their minds, wholly discredited ways. This spirit of pragmatic experimentation became the basis for a generation’s faith in the new American way, not just in the United States but around the world.

Rauchway, E. (2008). Great depression and the new deal : A very short introduction. Retrieved from http://ebookcentral.proquest.com Created from washington on 2020-03-23 12:00:36.

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Now, if you doubt the story is quite so simple, and if you insist that these simple statements require qualifications and nuance, I shall have to concede the point—beyond the confines of this brief book, I greatly respect the complexity of this era and the scholarship covering it. On the principle that you will go on from here if you wish fully to appreciate the period, the book concludes with recommendations for further reading. But the body of the book sticks to these simpler lines of argument on the grounds that they serve as a useful introduction to the subject.

The Great Depression began in the late 1920s, not necessarily with the Great Crash of 1929 but around that time, and afflicted a world tied together by specific kinds of debts, both within and between countries. Chapter 1 outlines that world and America’s peculiar place in it, explaining how it differed from the world before World War I, and emphasizing the vulnerabilities of the system as outlined by contemporary critics: the web of debt binding that world together looked fragile to its keenest observers.

Chapter 2 discusses the reactions to the crisis, first of the Federal Reserve System, which serves the United States as a central bank, and second of President Herbert Hoover and the Republican majority in Congress. Contrary to Democratic accusations, the Republicans did not do nothing—but Hoover’s own principles prevented him from doing nearly enough, and the crisis worsened appallingly under his leadership.

Chapter 3 shows that the greatness of the Great Depression owes to its widespread impact. It afflicted all sections of the American economy and much of the world. Perhaps most importantly, it encouraged middle-class American taxpayers and voters to identify themselves with the unfortunate many, rather the fortunate few.

The discussion here of the New Deal, like all such discussions, requires a selective principle to explain what belongs under that rubric and what does not. You will find two in this book. The first is chronological. While writers sometimes use the term “New Deal” to refer to the modern Democratic Party’s agenda, or indeed the expansion of the American state under any administration for any purpose after the Roosevelt era (a concept that sometimes goes under the name, “the New Deal order”), I concern myself in this book chiefly with the 1930s—after which Roosevelt and his contemporaries thought the New Deal ended—and look only briefly to its legacy in the war years.4 The second is functional. I divide the New Deal here into three parts: (1) those measures that appear to have worked to reverse the Depression; (2) those that did not; and (3) those that had little to do with fighting the current disaster but served to prevent or soften future ones.

Beyond Roosevelt’s core conviction that “[n]ecessitous men are not free men,” little held the New Deal together.5 New Deal programs embodied no single approach to political management of the economy. They originated in no single book, speech, or person’s thoughts. In some instances, Roosevelt himself had little to do with, or even opposed, ultimately important and successful legislation. The New Deal emerged over time from the fights between the president, the Congress, the Supreme Court, all of them influenced by the electoral returns that time after time supported this continuing conflict, in the interests of creating a stronger country.

Chapter 4, “Reflation and Relief,” covers the New Deal stabilization and shoring-up of

Rauchway, E. (2008). Great depression and the new deal : A very short introduction. Retrieved from http://ebookcentral.proquest.com Created from washington on 2020-03-23 12:00:36.

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America’s banks, currency, and credit, and the simultaneous effort to supply immediate relief to the Depression’s suffering millions while still keeping American traditions and institutions intact. These efforts alone, pursued vigorously, might eventually have ended the Depression, but New Dealers had greater ambitions.

Chapter 5, “Managing Farm and Factory,” explains New Deal attempts to re-create the managed economy of World War I for the peacetime crisis of the 1930s. These efforts generated controversy at the time and in retrospect appear considerably ill-advised. But they had roots deep in American politics, and their failures helped turn the New Deal into the balanced mechanism it became.

Chapter 6, “Countervailing Power,” considers the ways New Dealers tried to redistribute influence in the American economy. They did not use state redistribution of wealth through tax policy and welfare payments; rather, they used law to encourage interest groups and individual actors to act independently of their employers.

By 1936, the use of countervailing power had become a distinctive hallmark of the New Deal. Never so efficient as direct state action, the strategy of countervailing power allowed Roosevelt to, in Berlin’s words, “establish new rules of social justice . . . without forcing his country into some doctrinaire strait-jacket, whether of socialism or State capitalism, or the kind of new social organisation which the Fascist regimes flaunted as the New Order.”6 By such methods the New Deal gave weaker groups in society the ability to negotiate better deals in a marketplace it left substantially intact.

The book’s final chapter shows that the American electorate ratified Roosevelt in the landslide victory of 1936 and explains why the New Deal nevertheless ground to a halt within a few years after that. The Supreme Court played its part, and so did Franklin Roosevelt’s overreaching ambition. But so too did the results of their first experiments change some New Dealers’ minds. And finally, the impending war in Europe and America’s response to it set aside the New Deal’s fiscal caution and experimental care.

The New Deal did not end the Great Depression. As one American who lived through the 1930s told Studs Terkel, “industries needed to make guns for World War II made that happen.”7

Unemployment did not return to its 1929 level until 1943.8 But while we can therefore say that the New Deal did not finish the job, we cannot say that it was not working. Throughout the 1930s, with the exception of the recession in 1937–38, the economy was improving—growing on average 8 percent a year from 1933–37 and 10 percent a year from 1938–41, while unemployment fell steadily as well.9 This impressive rate of recovery reminds us how far the United States had to go to recover from the Hoover era. It also helps explain why the New Deal achieved such political success.

As a program to reform the American and global political economy, the New Deal met with more ambiguous fortune because it blurred into the war. The New Deal started and mainly stayed a purely American set of solutions to a problem of global importance, although the Anglo-American trade agreement of 1938 pointed toward an international method of reviving the world economy. And while the postwar order that Roosevelt in his last years helped secure

Rauchway, E. (2008). Great depression and the new deal : A very short introduction. Retrieved from http://ebookcentral.proquest.com Created from washington on 2020-03-23 12:00:36.

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for the world owed much to New Deal methods of pragmatic experimentation and shifting power away from states, because the war began before the lessons of the New Deal had made themselves quite clear, observers could not readily disentangle the two great events. The moral clarity of the 1940s obscured the hard choices, partial successes, and political bargains of the 1930s.

In the conclusion I discuss the New Deal’s influence on the postwar world through the Bretton Woods system of international agreements for economic stability, which endured until the 1970s. Not until then did the United States begin to retreat from its New Deal at home and abroad. And even after several subsequent decades during which politicians have led a revival in America’s pre-1929 beliefs, claiming repeatedly that government is a problem, not a solution, for modern economies, the New Deal’s basic commitment to shared responsibility for economic security and its skepticism toward the complete reliability of bankers, brokers, and corporate executives has not quite died.

Throughout this book, the reader will find these interpretations guided not only by the easier wisdom of scholarly hindsight, but also by the perceptive assessments of contemporary observers. Just as Americans enjoyed the great good fortune of Franklin Roosevelt’s unique presidential competence in both peace and war, they had also among them a remarkable generation of social scientists and other political analysts. The book relies on them as much as on those who have followed them and profited from their vision. And on the advice of one of the most acute among them, we begin with a description of the world that came limping to a halt in the Great War of 1914–18.

Notes 1. “Text of Governor Roosevelt’s Speech at the Convention Accepting the Nomination,” New York Times, January 3,1932, 8.

2. Isaiah Berlin, “President Franklin Delano Roosevelt,” in The Proper Study of Mankind: An Anthology of Essays, ed. Henry Hardy and Roger Hausheer (London: Chatto and Windus, 1997), 636–37.

3. David M. Kennedy, Freedom from Fear: The American People in Depression and War, 1929–1945 (New York: Oxford University Press, 1999), 365.

4. Steve Fraser and Gary Gerstle, eds., The Rise and Fall of the New Deal Order, 1930– 1980 (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1989). On the New Deal’s contribution to the later growth of the executive branch, see Theodore Lowi, The End of Liberalism: The Second Republic of the United States (New York: W. W. Norton, 1979).

5. Cited in Kennedy, Freedom from Fear, 280. See also Berlin, “President Franklin Delano Roosevelt.”

6. Berlin, “President Franklin Delano Roosevelt,” 629–30. 7. Studs Terkel, Hard Times: An Oral History of the Great Depression (New York: The New Press, 2000), 57.

Rauchway, E. (2008). Great depression and the new deal : A very short introduction. Retrieved from http://ebookcentral.proquest.com Created from washington on 2020-03-23 12:00:36.

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8. Susan B. Carter et al., eds., Historical Statistics of the United States, Earliest Times to the Present, Millennial Edition (New York: Cambridge University Press, 2006), series Ba475. Unemployment as a percentage of the civilian labor force was 2.9 percent in 1929; 3.1 percent in 1942 and 1.8 percent in 1943.

9. Christina D. Romer, “What Ended the Great Depression?,” Journal of Economic History 52, no. 4 (1992): 757.

Rauchway, E. (2008). Great depression and the new deal : A very short introduction. Retrieved from http://ebookcentral.proquest.com Created from washington on 2020-03-23 12:00:36.

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